The monthly Android version battle - July

News

A new Android version (Android L) has been announced which mean we will get a new version number in the matrix somewhere late 2014. But will probably take 3-6 months before it will be available on a big range of devices and will get into the lift, so until that time KitKat will continue growing in a steady pace.

Show me the numbers

The trends remain the same as last month. KitKat is increasing in a fast pace and the rest seems to decrease. Only Android 4.2 showed a small increase which is expected since these devices are still being sold.

Android version in order of current market share

  1. (-) Android 4.1 with 27,8% (-1,2%)
  2. (-) Android 4.2 with 19,7% (+0,6%)
  3. (+1) Android 4.4 with 17.9% (+4,3%)
  4. (-1) Android 2.3 with 13,5% (-1,4%)
  5. (-) Android 4.0 with 11,4% (-0,9%)
  6. (-) Android 4.3 with 9% (-1,3%)
  7. (-) Android 2.2 with 0,7% (-0,1%)

Android code names in order of current market share

  1. (-) Jelly Bean with 56,5% (-1,9%)
  2. (+1) KitKat with 17,9% (+4,3%)
  3. (-1) Gingerbread with 13,5% (-1,4%)
  4. (-) Ice Cream Sandwich with 11,4% (-0,9%)
  5. (-) Others combined with 0,7% (-0,1%)

 Estimate for next month

  • Android 2.3 (Gingerbread) will decrease faster then Android 4.0 
  • Android 4.0 (Ice Cream Sandwich) has been sold (and is still been sold) on tablets so it will still decrease but not as fast as Android 2.3
  • Android 2.3 and 4.0 will drop to less then 8% market share before Android L is on the market
  • Android 4.1 (Jelly Bean) will keep on decreasing in a steady pace just like Android 2.3 and 4.0
  • Android 4.2 and 4.3 (Jelly Bean) are hard to predict, there are still phones sold with these Android versions. So they might still increase, but as soon as manufacturers bring out new firmware (with Android 4.4) the numbers will drop for sure
  • Android 4.4 (KitKat) will catch up to 2nd place next month. each month an increase of 4,5%  or more will get KitKat to more then 45% market share within 6 months. I think it will even increase faster because more phones with KitKat will be sold over time. So within the next half year I would not be surprised if KitKat has a 55-60% market share. And this number will continue to increase once Android L has been launched for at least a couple of months.
  • Android 5? (L) It has been said to become available late 2014, by that time, most Android versions have decreased to a number where L can catch up quickly. Probably a lot of high end models will get the update from 4.4 to L but this will take a little while. I think the curve will be somewhat the same as KitKat has now
Sources:
https://developer.android.com/about/dashboards/index.html
http://developer.android.com/preview/index.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Android_L

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